Analisis saham lengkap BEI gabungkan fundamental (nilai intrinsik bisnis) dan teknikal (timing harga) untuk keputusan optimal. Fundamental tentukan “beli apa”, teknikal jawab “kapan beli”. Heygotrade tekankan screening fundamental kuat dulu, baru teknikal entry pullback support. Di BEI volatilitas tinggi, hybrid approach tingkatkan akurasi 70-80% vs single method. Pemula sering fokus teknikal saja, padahal fundamental cegah jebakan value trap.
Analisis Saham Fundamental BEI: Nilai Bisnis
Analisis saham fundamental nilai intrinsik perusahaan via laporan keuangan, rasio, prospek sektor. Top-down approach: Makro → Sektor → Emiten.
Rasio Fundamental Kunci BEI LQ45
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ROE >15% (efisiensi modal pemilik)
Also Read
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PER <20x sektor (valuasi murah)
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DER <1x (utang terkendali)
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Net Margin >8% (profitabilitas)
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Current Ratio >1.5x (likuiditas)
Laporan keuangan analisis:
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Laba Rugi: Revenue growth >10% YoY, margin stabil
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Neraca: Aset lancar > liabilitas lancar
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Arus Kas: Operating CF > laba bersih (bisnis sehat)
Screening praktis: Stockbit filter ROE>15%, PER<18x, DER<0.8 → BBCA, ICBP, TLKM muncul.
Analisis Saham Teknikal BEI: Timing Harga
Analisis saham teknikal prediksi pergerakan harga via chart, volume, indikator. Asumsi: harga diskon semua info.
Indikator Teknikal Wajib BEI
Moving Average (MA): MA20/50/200 trend filter
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Golden Cross: MA20 potong MA50 ↑ → buy
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Death Cross: MA20 potong MA50 ↓ → sell
RSI (Relative Strength Index): 14-period
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70 overbought (jual)
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<30 oversold (beli)
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Divergensi bullish: Harga low baru, RSI higher low
Volume: Konfirmasi breakout >2x rata-rata 20 hari.
Pola Chart Analisis Saham BEI
Bullish: Double bottom, cup-handle, bullish engulfing Bearish: Head-shoulders, falling wedge breakdown Reversal: Morning star, hammer candlestick support
Tabel Kombinasi Fundamental-Teknikal LQ45
| Saham | Fundamental (ROE/PER/DER) | Teknikal (RSI/MA/Volume) | Rekomendasi Analisis | Target Harga |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBCA | 18%/15x/0.4x ✅ | RSI 55/MA20 support/Vol↑ | BELI Pullback MA20 | Rp11.000 |
| ICBP | 16%/18x/0.6x ✅ | RSI 65/Bullish engulfing | AKUMULASI | Rp14.000 |
| TLKM | 12%/14x/0.8x ⚠️ | RSI 45/MA50 resistance | TUNGGU Breakout | Rp4.200 |
| NCKL | 25%/22x/1.1x ⚠️ | RSI 75/Overbought | JUAL Profit taking | Rp1.200 |
| ASII | 14%/16x/0.9x ✅ | RSI 62/Volume spike | BELI Konfirmasi | Rp6.000 |
Strategi Analisis Saham Hybrid BEI
Heygotrade Method:
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Screening fundamental: ROE>15%, PER<20x → 20 kandidat
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Bias determination: Bullish (growth), netral (dividend), bearish (avoid)
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Teknikal entry: Pullback support MA20 + RSI>40
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Risk management: Stop loss 8% di bawah support
Stockbit approach: Fundamental filter → teknikal konfirmasi → volume breakout.
Contoh BBCA:
Fundamental: ROE 18%, PER 15x → BULLISH BIAS
Teknikal: Pullback MA20 Rp9.800, RSI 45 → BELI
Volume 2x rata-rata → KONFIRMASI
Target Rp11.000 (+12%), SL Rp9.000 (-8%)
Screening LQ45 Excel Template
Formula screening:
Score = (ROE/15)*0.3 + (1/PER)*0.2 + (1/DER)*0.2 + (Margin/10)*0.2 + (CR/1.5)*0.1
Score >0.8 → BELI | 0.6-0.8 → HOLD | <0.6 → AVOID
Top 5 LQ45 score:
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BBCA (0.92)
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ICBP (0.87)
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BMRI (0.82)
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UNVR (0.79)
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TLKM (0.76)
Timing Entry-Exit BEI
Entry checklist (minimal 3/5):
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✅ Fundamental score >0.8
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✅ RSI 40-60 (tidak ekstrem)
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✅ Harga >MA20 daily
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✅ Volume >1.5x rata-rata
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✅ Sektor rotation positif
Exit trigger:
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❌ RSI >75 + divergensi
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❌ Break support MA50
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❌ Fundamental memburuk (ROE drop)
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❌ Target profit +15-20%
Tools Saham BEI Terbaik
Stockbit: Fundamental screener + teknikal chart + komunitas. RTI Business: Live data + 50+ indikator teknikal. TradingView: Custom chart pattern + alert. Yahoo Finance: Rasio fundamental historis gratis.
Kesimpulan Analisis Saham Fundamental Teknikal BEI
Analisis saham lengkap BEI hybrid paling powerful: fundamental screening (ROE>15%, PER<20x) tentukan “saham apa”, teknikal (MA20 support, RSI 40-60) jawab “kapan beli”. BBCA/ICBP/TLKM score tertinggi kombinasi kuat.
Entry checklist 3/5 kriteria, exit RSI>75 + break support. Tools Stockbit+RTI gratis cukup pemula pro. Disiplin hybrid tingkatkan win rate 75%, alpha 5-7% vs IHSG pasif.
Mulai hari ini: Screen 10 LQ45, chart 3 favorit, entry pertama minggu depan!
