Pola berita top gainers saham top losers saham jadi sinyal tercepat deteksi momentum pasar harian. Top gainers (+10%+) sering picu FOMO, top losers (-15%+) panic selling. Memahami pola di baliknya bantu bedakan momentum berkelanjutan vs trap sesaat di BEI.
Apa Itu Top Gainers dan Top Losers
Top Gainers: 10-20 saham naik tertinggi % harian di BEI, biasa +5-35%. Top Losers: Saham turun terdalam, -5-35%. Update real-time jam 09:15-15:00 WIB.
Ditampilkan RTI Business, aplikasi sekuritas, BEI.co.id. Filter volume >1M lembar hindari illiquid stock manipulasi.
Pola Berita Trigger Top Gainers
Earnings Beat: Laba Q >expectation + guidance naik → gainers BBCA, ASII.
Corporate Action: Dividen special, buyback announce → TLKM, UNVR +15-25%.
Komoditas Spike: Nikel/CPO naik global → NCKL, AALI top gainers.
Net Buy Asing Besar: Asing masuk Rp200M+ → bank blue chip rally.
Breakout Teknikal: Saham potong resistance + volume 3x → momentum continuation.
Pattern: Volume spike + % change >15% + berita fundamental = berkelanjutan.
Pola Berita Picu Top Losers
Earnings Miss: Laba turun YoY + guidance cut → properti crash -20%.
Suspensi Resume Gap Down: Investigasi selesai negatif → small cap -30%.
Right Issue Besar: Dilusi kepemilikan → BMRI, BBNI turun 10-15%.
Net Sell Asing Ekstrem: Flight capital → sektor siklikal losers.
Margin Call: Leverage over + panic → penny stock -50%+.
Pattern: Volume tinggi + % change <-20% + fundamental rusak = downtrend baru.
Tabel Pola Berita Gainers vs Losers
| Trigger Berita | Top Gainers Pattern | Top Losers Pattern | Strategi Trading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings | Beat + guidance up | Miss + cut guidance | Buy beaters, avoid missers |
| Corporate Action | Buyback/dividen | Right issue/suspensi | Buy pre-announce |
| Makro | BI Rate cut, komoditas up | Rate hike, trade deficit | Sektor rotation |
| Teknikal | Breakout + volume | Breakdown support | Momentum/swing |
| Net Flow | Asing net buy >Rp100M | Asing net sell >Rp200M | Follow asing flow |
Strategi Trading Top Gainers
Early Entry: Beli gainers +5% dengan volume 2x rata-rata + berita solid. Target +10-15% intraday.
Continuation Play: Gainers kemarin + net buy hari ini = hold 2-3 hari. Stop loss -5% dari entry.
Avoid FOMO: Gainers >+30% akhir sesi = profit taking besok (sell the news).
Volume Konfirmasi: Gainers tanpa volume = fake breakout, tunggu pullback MA20.
Strategi dari Top Losers
Gap Down Bounce: Losers -15% + volume tinggi + support kuat = buy dip potensi +20% rebound.
Dead Cat Bounce Trap: Losers fundamental rusak + bounce lemah = short/avoid.
Capitulation Signal: Top losers massal + RSI <20 = market bottom, rotasi defensif.
Post-Earnings: Losers earnings miss tapi undervalued (PER <10x) = akumulasi gradual.
Pola Momentum Berkelanjutan vs Trap
Sustainable Gainers:
-
Volume 3x+ rata-rata
-
Berita fundamental (earnings, buyback)
-
Asing net buy support
-
Break resistance historis
Trap Gainers (FOMO):
-
Volume rendah
-
Hype rumor/sosmed
-
RSI >85 overbought
-
Asing net sell
Sustainable Losers (downtrend):
-
Fundamental rusak permanen
-
Utang naik, margin turun
-
Asing net sell konsisten
Tools Pantau Real-Time Gainers/Losers
RTI Business: Leaderboard gainers/losers + volume + % change live.
Stockbit Scanner: Filter “Top Gainers + Volume >5M”.
TradingView: BEI heat map + custom screener.
BEI.co.id: Most active securities harian.
Set alert: Gainers >+10% + volume spike, losers <-15% + news alert.
Kesalahan Umum dan Hindari
Chasing Gainers Akhir Sesi: 70% reverse besok. Entry pagi atau pullback.
Panic Short Losers: Banyak rebound gap up +20%. Tunggu konfirmasi breakdown.
Volume Blind: Gainers tanpa volume = pump-dump retail.
News Overreaction: Baca MDA lengkap, bukan headline saja.
Risk 1% per trade gainers/losers related.
FAQ
Top gainers pasti lanjut naik besok?
Tidak. 60% pullback, 30% sideways, 10% continuation kuat.
Losers pagi bisa jadi gainers sore?
Bisa (oversold bounce), tapi risky tanpa volume konfirmasi.
Volume berapa minimal untuk gainers kredibel?
2M lembar + 2x rata-rata 10 hari.
Saham mana sering top gainers BEI?
Bank (BBRI, BBCA), komoditas (NCKL, ANTM), konsumsi (ICBP).
Pattern mana paling akurat?
Gainers + asing net buy + breakout = 75% probabilitas lanjut.
Trading gainers cocok timeframe apa?
Swing 1-5 hari, hindari scalping volatilitas tinggi.
